Limited to 200 members
The Home Run
Model
Data-driven MLB home run props. Systematic process, transparent results, capped membership to protect the edge.
Verified Results
Two seasons.
Fully tracked.
2025 performance is third-party tracked on Pikkit. 2026 performance updates live from the results feed.
2025
Third-party tracked on Pikkit
2026
Live results feed
Built on data,
not gut feelings
Every game day, the model pulls in weather data, park factors, proprietary pitcher and batter skill metrics, and predicted career trajectories. It then simulates each game thousands of times — not to predict what will happen, but to understand what could happen and how likely each outcome is.
Baseball is random. That's the whole point. The model embraces that variance by computing a confidence level for every edge it finds. If the math doesn't clear a hard threshold, the pick doesn't go out.
You'll see around 5 picks on an average game day, but there's no fixed number. Some days the model finds more value, some days less. It only fires when the edge is real.
Join the
Home Run Model
Limited to 200 members. Cancel anytime.
- Model-generated HR prop picks, delivered daily
- Unit recommendations included on every play
- Full transparency — every pick tracked, win or lose
- Private community to follow along and discuss
37 spots remaining
Why is membership capped?
Too many people on the same plays moves lines and kills the edge. The cap isn't a marketing tactic — it's how you maintain a real advantage. We'll re-evaluate allowing more memberships at a later date.
How are picks delivered?
Daily in a dedicated read-only Discord channel, before first pitch. You'll also have access to a subscriber-only chat for discussion.
What does a typical pick include?
Player, prop line, the model's projected probability, and a confidence rating.
Limited availability
200 spots.
That's it.
Capped membership to protect the edge.
Get Started